@Ganymede said in The basketball thread:
You are no doubt aware of what happened in the wake of KD's defection; GSW had to waive the rights to Bogut and Ezeli, and let Harrison Barnes go (no harm there). They picked up another scrub Center, which means -- once again -- that they are weak up the middle. If you will recall in the final game, they were tired and out-rebounded. How does KD help that?
He doesn't. What they are hoping for is to exploit the very core of smallball; that 3 is larger than 2. Getting open shots, moving the ball, getting open looks and scoring at a decent (40%+) rate then play swarming defense - which KD can help given his absurd wingspan - to make it hard for the other offense to get in the paint.
So, no. I don't think GSW is going to get a ring next year -- sorry. They have to address other problems, namely their lack of depth and weakness up the middle. And if KD starts getting ankle problems, or Curry's legs give out, you're in huge trouble in the playoffs.
I think they are placing too many of their eggs in an increasingly smaller basket. Sure those are amazing eggs but it is still just that one basket and they have two guys with chronic ankle issues. The playoffs are a marathon where everyone is playing at 100%, very physical, very rough... they'll have very little ability to make up for a single injury like this.
The other funny thing? Other teams are adjusting the same way. For example DWade - feeling neglected as once again he won't have even remotely the biggest contract in Miami - is talking to Cleveland (!) now. Do I think it's gonna happen? Naw, the guy will retire with a Heat jersey on... but it shows the Cavs' intentions, if they can add a superstar they will, which will cost them some depth too. I'd expect at least one of JR Smith/Shumpert to go, with Delly/Mozgov already on to greener pastures paved with $$, and perhaps it won't even stop there.
So, I'm going to call it. I'm perfectly happy to eat crow. GSW ain't gonna get a ring next year. LeBron had a year to plan, train, and get his team better -- and they performed better. Richard Jefferson's already said he may come back after KD was traded -- no doubt to try and whomp on the Warriors again.
I'm more interested in the future further down the line. The Thunder are about to blow their roster up, so if Boston dangles their treasure trove of picks and grabs Westbrook... that's one fantastic team right there. On the other end? Minnesota, building their own young core around an immergent superstar.
And, if you want an ultimate final? Let's see if Russell Westbrook takes a cut to go and play for the Cavs, shifting Kyrie Irving to SG. Because Westbrook seems pissed enough to do that.
The difference between a Heatles wet-dream fantasy like DWade playing for the Cavs and Westie is that it takes time to build chemistry. Westbrook might take months, even a season... Wade already has it.